Egemen Bezci, PhD

AI and Risk Decision Systems

I design and govern analytical systems for high-stakes decisions in risk management and intelligence analysis in regulated environments. My approach integrates machine learning, generative AI, operational rules and institutional knowledge with human judgement.

Founder & Principal Consultant, Aethernix (opens in a new tab) · Lecturer, Universität für Weiterbildung Krems · Non-Resident Senior Fellow, USF GNSI

Portrait of Egemen Bezci

Profile

Decisions under uncertainty

I develop analytical systems for decisions made with incomplete evidence. My experience spans fraud and risk, government and defence analytics, scientific evidence analysis and intelligence research.

I combine hands-on model development with explainability, monitoring, operational controls and human oversight—connecting analytical outputs with responsible decisions.

“A model can help, but it cannot bear responsibility.”

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Industry

From models to operational decisions

Featured case

Fraud risk and decision intelligence

Regulated BNPL · Germany and Austria · €200m+ annual transaction volume

I developed fraud and risk models using transaction behaviour alongside privacy-sensitive device, identity and location intelligence. I built an in-house fraud capability that replaced reliance on an external provider, connecting model outputs with analyst review, monitoring, operational controls and executive reporting.

I also developed an orchestration and decision-intelligence layer integrating machine-learning models, rule engines, generative AI and retrieval from internal knowledge systems. It brought risk signals, automated checks and supporting information into shared operational workflows for human review.

Government and defence technology

Co-designed an analyst-centred NLP platform for countering cognitive warfare, selected among the top 10 of more than 130 submissions to NATO's 2021 Innovation Challenge. The full recording of the pitch day can be found here.

Scientific evidence and research technology

Developed classification and data-processing pipelines for compliance- and quality-sensitive research workflows, transforming complex scientific source material into structured analytical evidence.

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Teaching & Speaking

Teaching across disciplines and professional practice

My university teaching began at the University of Nottingham in 2014 and has since taken me to Sweden, New Zealand, Taiwan and Austria. I have taught undergraduates, master's students and military professionals across politics, intelligence and quantitative methods.

Since 2025, I have taught recurring graduate and professional courses on Intelligence and Data Science at Universität für Weiterbildung Krems. My teaching connects analytical methods with the interpretation of evidence, methodological limits and professional judgement.

Quantitative Methods for Intelligence and Counter-Terrorism

Data Science and Data Intelligence

Teaching history and materials

I regularly speak at and attend industry and academic events. Below, you can find my upcoming presentations and a selection of past talks.

ECPR 5th Conference on Organised Crime (opens in a new tab)

10–11 December 2026 · Naples, Italy

Conference presenter

Mafia, Cartels and Crime Networks: Challenges to State and Society

Host: Department of Social Sciences, University of Naples Federico II

Organiser: ECPR Standing Group on Organised Crime

If you are attending the conference too, get in touch.

Speaking and events

Research & Publications

Intelligence and strategic decision-making

I began my career as a scholar of intelligence. I am the author of Turkish Intelligence and the Cold War, published by Bloomsbury and reviewed in the CIA’s Studies in Intelligence.

My most recent publication, with Nihat Ali Özcan, is a book chapter in Covert Action: National Approaches to Unacknowledged Intervention, published by Georgetown University Press in 2025.

My research has appeared in The Pacific Review, Middle Eastern Studies and the Journal of Intelligence History, with policy writing in War on the Rocks, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, The National Interest, among others. My research has received support from fellowships and grants in Taiwan, Sweden, the United States and the United Kingdom.

Research and grants View all publications

Contact

I welcome inquiries concerning AI and risk advisory work, fractional leadership, university and professional teaching, speaking, and research or institutional collaboration.

Contact me